Recap: Israel Strikes Syria Amid Uncertainty Following the Fall of Assad’s Regime

Published on: December 10, 2024 at 9:34 PM
A F-16I Sufa of the IAF, an extensively modified version of the F-16D, fully kitted out in strike configuration. (Image credit: Israeli Air Force)

The IDF struck key installations in Syria, following the fall of the Assad regime, to prevent advanced weapons from falling into the hands of those hostile to Israel.

Following the recent fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime, the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have reportedly conducted over 300 airstrikes across Syria. This new round of strikes followed the first ones on the day Assad fled the country, which were meant to destroy suspected chemical weapons sites and long-range rockets.

The new strikes

According to Israeli sources, the military attacked “320 strategic targets,” in an operation called “Bashan Arrow,” after the biblical name for the region in the Golan Heights and southern Syria. The operation was divided in multiple phases, with the first focused on the destruction of air defenses.

The new strikes targeted key Syrian military infrastructure, including a research center with suspected links to chemical weapon production and a site in Damascus, the Syrian Capital, said to have been used for rocket development by Iranian scientists.

They have also hit other weapons and ammunition arsenals, the Syrian Air Force and Navy and weapons research centers. Locations included sites near or in the Syrian capital of Damascus.

Among the targets struck is the port of Latakia, where several vessels have been destroyed, including six Osa II-class missile boats. The real extent to the damage is unclear, but Israel is claiming its Navy has destroyed all the Syrian Navy’s vessels.

***UPDATE***

Images of sunken Syrian navy ships following last night’s Israeli Navy strike on Latakia, Syria.

6 x vintage OSA-II class missile boats.

[image or embed]

— H I Sutton (@covertshores.bsky.social) 10 dicembre 2024 alle ore 13:15


Israeli sources claimed that the Syrian Air Force reportedly had all its MiG-29s and a large number of Su-22 and Su-24 aircraft destroyed. Images and videos emerged so far show MiG-21 and MiG-29 destroyed, as well as armed Gazelle helicopters and air defense systems, with penetrating munitions used to destroy aircraft in hardened shelters.

The reasons

Israeli officials emphasized that these strikes aimed to prevent advanced weapons from falling into the hands of extremists hostile to Israel, such as Iran-affiliated militias or radical insurgents now vying for control in the power vacuum left by Assad’s downfall. These weapons more than likely include chemical weapons, which Assad was notorious for using against his own citizens. The strikes come as the UN’s chemical watchdog warns authorities in Syria to ensure that suspected stockpiles of chemical weapons are safe.

The Israeli strikes currently do not seem to have any reported civilian casualties, including infrastructure. According to BBC reports, the locations struck by the IDF were being guarded by HTS men and journalists were denied access to see the damage for themselves.

IDF strikes within Syria and other nations are not a new concept – Israel has openly admitted bombing targets associated with Iran and terror groups associated with Iran, such as Hezbollah. Notably, the US has also conducted strikes within Syria to limit ISIS affiliated groups from exploiting the volatile situation in the country.

An F-15D Baz takes off for a strike mission armed with GBU-31 JDAM bombs. (Image credit: Israeli Air Force)

The Syrian Rebels and Israel’s stance

The Israeli attacks on Syrian soil come after a successful revolution in which rebel groups, led by the Islamist opposition group Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), toppled the dictator Bashar al-Assad’s reign over Syria. Assad was backed extensively by Iran, Hezbollah and Russia.

The rebellion was a swift and decisive operation. With Assad’s two most powerful backers significantly weakened – Hezbollah in the Israel-Gaza war and cross-border air strikes between Israel and Lebanon, and Russia spending resources in the Ukraine war – HTS and its rebels were able to capture large swathes of Syria, including the capital city of Damascus.

The dictator and his father had been in power since 1971, and ruled with an iron fist. Rumors circulated of an Il-76, with Assad on board, crashed on Dec. 9, 2024, but it was later revealed by the Kremlin that Assad had safely fled to Moscow with his British wife and two adult children.

HTS was a direct affiliate of Al Qaeda, and is one of the founders of the Islamic State. Although Assad had links with Hezbollah and Iran, some of Israel’s worst enemies, Israeli calculations in 2011 showed that what would follow the regime could potentially be much worse for them than the Assad government.

Situation in the Golan Heights

Israeli ground forces, including tanks and personnel, also crossed the Golan Heights on Dec. 9, after Syrian troops left their posts. This is in order to “not allow any hostile force to establish itself on our [Israel’s]  border.” According to Nehanyahu, the IDF’s seizure of Syrian positions in the buffer zone was a “temporary defensive position until a suitable arrangement is found”.

The unit deployed is the 98th Division, which is composed of a Commando Brigade, a regular full-time Paratrooper Brigade and up to 2 Reserve Paratrooper Brigades. The deployment of troops followed Israeli president Nehanyahu’s announcement that the IDF had seized control over the DMZ, claiming that the 1974 agreement had effectively “collapsed” with the rebel takeover.

The IDF deployed tanks and personnel, from the 98th Division, to the Golan Heights after 50 years. (Image credit: The Times of Israel)

The Golan Heights are an Israeli-occupied area next to the DMZ (demilitarized zone) between Israel and Syria, taken from Syria in the Six-Day War of 1967, and annexed in 1981. It is especially of interest to the IDF perhaps because of the family ties to Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, the HTS leader, who was originally from the region.

Israel has released a statement saying that the IDF was only taking “limited and temporary steps” for “security reasons” to protect its own citizens and that they had no interest in internal Syrian affairs.

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Rin Sakurai is a military aviation photographer and contributor to The Aviationist. Although interested in anything to do with post-WWII military aviation, he is particularly interested in East Asian air forces and experimental fighter aircraft. He is studying in high school, and is active on Instagram, X (formerly twitter) and Bluesky
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